Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-03-1001:05CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches

Marlins

Away

10-6

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	2	1	0	0	2	3	0	1	1	10	9	2
Astros	0	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	0	6	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 36%

Opponent allowing 50%

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 42%

Opponent allowing 9%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 43%

Astros scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 21%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 21%

Astros scoring tendency

39%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 57%

Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Astros defense

43%R 36% · RA 50%

Astros offense × Marlins defense

25%R 42% · RA 9%

Sample 10Combined vs league -4pp

Last 20 69% · Season 69% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

-4pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-10pp

7–9 Late

59%

-4pp

F5 first five

52%

-8pp

F9 full game

56%

-6pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 50Runs Allowed 89

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 61Runs Allowed 60

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	7% 1/14	#329% 4/14	21% 3/14	14% 2/14	7% 1/14	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	#231% 4/13	#136% 4/11	-
Marlins	RA	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	21% 3/14	#236% 5/14	#336% 5/14	#157% 8/14	36% 5/14	36% 5/14	9% 1/11	-
Astros	R	#329% 4/14	21% 3/14	#143% 6/14	14% 2/14	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	29% 4/14	29% 4/14	#242% 5/12	-
Astros	RA	29% 4/14	#336% 5/14	#243% 6/14	29% 4/14	29% 4/14	21% 3/14	21% 3/14	14% 2/14	#150% 5/10	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.