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2025-09-2903:20Wrigley Field
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.1
Cardinals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 75% · Season 64% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+11pp
7–9 Late
39%
-12pp
F5 first five
62%
+7pp
F9 full game
54%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
032649612851931787828410137910248089587626749677671865419151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 689Runs Allowed 752

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

161 games
0336699132918211054428668388864979459373690627929084033991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 791Runs Allowed 649
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR24% 39/16125% 41/16126% 42/161#328% 45/16124% 39/161#132% 51/16127% 43/16125% 41/161#228% 35/12350% 10/20
RA#232% 52/16124% 38/161#331% 50/161#136% 58/16131% 50/16124% 38/16129% 47/16127% 43/16119% 23/12060% 12/20
CubsR30% 49/161#133% 53/16127% 44/161#233% 53/161#333% 53/16129% 47/16129% 46/16131% 50/16118% 21/11953% 8/15
RA#330% 48/16119% 31/16127% 44/161#130% 49/161#230% 49/16125% 41/16122% 36/16121% 34/16118% 23/12647% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.