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Final
2025-09-2702:20Wrigley Field
1-12
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cardinals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.5
Cardinals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Cubs defense
28%R 25% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Cardinals defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 63% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+6pp
7–9 Late
35%
-17pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
51%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
031639512751911787828410137810048086587616718877668865419151910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 685Runs Allowed 733

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
0336699132898211054428668386854949459273682597899084033991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 772Runs Allowed 645
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CardinalsR25% 39/15926% 41/15926% 42/159#328% 44/15925% 39/159#132% 51/15926% 41/15926% 41/159#229% 35/12150% 10/20
RA#231% 50/15924% 38/159#331% 50/159#136% 57/15930% 48/15923% 37/15928% 45/15926% 41/15919% 23/12060% 12/20
CubsR30% 47/159#133% 53/15928% 44/159#233% 52/159#332% 51/15929% 46/15928% 44/15930% 48/15918% 21/11953% 8/15
RA#230% 48/15919% 31/15928% 44/159#330% 48/159#131% 49/15926% 41/15921% 34/15921% 34/15919% 23/12447% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.