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Final
2025-09-2607:40Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
8-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 57% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
44%
-8pp
F5 first five
63%
+8pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
0306090120906817864295833858948478565916898479669857619121310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 751Runs Allowed 700

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
0336699132898011054428667385824939458971682597899084033991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 767Runs Allowed 637
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#331% 49/15827% 42/158#135% 56/15826% 41/15828% 45/15824% 38/15827% 42/15831% 49/158#232% 37/11739% 7/18
RA23% 36/15825% 40/158#328% 45/158#131% 49/15827% 43/15828% 44/158#229% 46/15821% 33/15826% 32/12156% 10/18
CubsR30% 47/158#134% 53/15828% 44/158#232% 51/158#332% 50/15828% 45/15828% 44/15830% 48/15818% 21/11853% 8/15
RA#230% 47/15820% 31/15827% 43/158#330% 47/158#131% 49/15825% 40/15822% 34/15822% 34/15819% 23/12347% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.