Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2601:05Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Rays

Away

5-6

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	3	0	0	2	0	0	0	5	15	1
Orioles	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	1X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +0pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Orioles defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Orioles offense × Rays defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

42%

-9pp

F5 first five

52%

-4pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 702Runs Allowed 655

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 664Runs Allowed 766

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#331% 49/158	23% 37/158	#232% 51/158	#135% 56/158	22% 35/158	26% 41/158	24% 38/158	24% 38/158	24% 29/122	56% 9/16
Rays	RA	#327% 43/158	27% 43/158	25% 40/158	24% 38/158	26% 41/158	#129% 46/158	23% 37/158	23% 36/158	#229% 36/124	69% 11/16
Orioles	R	#327% 42/158	23% 36/158	#132% 51/158	21% 33/158	27% 42/158	25% 40/158	#232% 50/158	24% 38/158	17% 21/125	44% 8/18
Orioles	RA	#134% 54/158	27% 42/158	#234% 53/158	29% 46/158	#333% 52/158	25% 40/158	28% 45/158	27% 42/158	26% 31/120	44% 8/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.