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Final
2025-09-2508:05Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
3-10
Cubs
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Mets000020010341
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 78% · Season 57% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
66%
+11pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+2pp
7–9 Late
45%
-7pp
F5 first five
64%
+9pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games
0295989119906817864295783858848276565896898479569857619121310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 748Runs Allowed 690

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games
0336699132898011054428167384824919258771682597898984033991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 757Runs Allowed 634
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#331% 49/15727% 42/157#136% 56/15726% 41/15728% 44/15724% 38/15727% 42/15731% 48/157#232% 37/11639% 7/18
RA23% 36/15725% 40/157#328% 44/157#131% 48/15727% 42/15727% 43/157#229% 46/15721% 33/15726% 32/12156% 10/18
CubsR30% 47/157#134% 53/15727% 43/157#232% 50/157#331% 49/15728% 44/15728% 44/15731% 48/15718% 21/11853% 8/15
RA#230% 47/15720% 31/15727% 43/157#330% 47/157#131% 48/15725% 40/15722% 34/15721% 33/15719% 23/12247% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.