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Final
2025-09-2407:40Wrigley Field
Mets
Away
9-7
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Mets1000510209112
Cubs230101000791

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.1
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Cubs defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Cubs offense × Mets defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
64%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
63%
+8pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games
0295989119896617861295783858747776564886898479369857619121310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 739Runs Allowed 683

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games
0326496128877911024428167383824918758670682597898784033991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 750Runs Allowed 625
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MetsR#331% 48/15627% 42/156#136% 56/15626% 41/15628% 43/15624% 37/15627% 42/15630% 47/156#232% 37/11539% 7/18
RA22% 35/15625% 39/156#328% 44/156#130% 47/15627% 42/15627% 42/156#229% 46/15621% 33/15627% 32/12056% 10/18
CubsR29% 46/156#133% 52/15628% 43/156#231% 49/156#331% 49/15628% 43/15628% 44/15631% 48/15618% 21/11753% 8/15
RA#329% 46/15620% 31/15628% 43/156#130% 47/156#230% 47/15625% 39/15622% 34/15621% 32/15619% 23/12147% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.