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Final
2025-09-2201:40Citi Field
3-2
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals030000000390
Mets001001000282

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 45%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 65% · Season 55% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
60%
+5pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
58%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
036721081459311216778258963757846184574106667116768115880609151210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 658Runs Allowed 857

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

155 games
0295988118896617858294783858747776563886898479369857619121310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 737Runs Allowed 680
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR26% 41/15525% 38/15521% 32/155#328% 44/15523% 35/155#130% 47/15524% 37/15523% 36/155#230% 39/12945% 5/11
RA#234% 52/15531% 48/15528% 44/15524% 37/15530% 47/155#332% 49/15531% 48/155#139% 60/15529% 33/11445% 5/11
MetsR#331% 48/15527% 42/155#135% 55/15526% 41/15528% 43/15523% 36/15527% 42/15530% 47/155#232% 37/11439% 7/18
RA23% 35/15525% 38/155#328% 44/155#130% 47/15527% 42/15527% 42/155#230% 46/15521% 33/15527% 32/11956% 10/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.