Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2107:10Daikin Park

Mariners

Away

6-4

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0	0	6	9	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	0	4	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Mariners scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 25%

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.8

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Astros defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Astros offense × Mariners defense

28%R 20% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp

Last 20 60% · Season 54% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-0pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

50%

-5pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 728Runs Allowed 666

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 652Runs Allowed 629

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	29% 45/154	#330% 46/154	24% 37/154	#231% 47/154	23% 35/154	29% 44/154	#131% 48/154	21% 32/154	29% 34/116	48% 20/42
Mariners	RA	#129% 45/154	18% 28/154	26% 40/154	#229% 44/154	28% 43/154	#329% 44/154	27% 41/154	23% 35/154	21% 26/122	52% 22/42
Astros	R	27% 41/154	20% 31/154	27% 42/154	22% 34/154	#328% 43/154	#132% 50/154	23% 35/154	#228% 43/153	21% 24/114	39% 9/23
Astros	RA	26% 40/154	#327% 41/154	27% 41/154	#227% 42/154	#132% 50/154	21% 33/154	25% 38/153	23% 35/153	20% 25/126	43% 10/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.