Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2106:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

3-6

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	7	0
Reds	0	0	2	0	1	0	1	2	X	6	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

40%R 40% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 75% · Season 61% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+2pp

7–9 Late

49%

-3pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 747Runs Allowed 618

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 690Runs Allowed 660

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 46/154	#134% 52/154	27% 42/154	#232% 49/154	#331% 48/154	28% 43/154	29% 44/154	31% 47/154	18% 21/115	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#230% 46/154	20% 31/154	27% 41/154	#131% 47/154	#330% 46/154	25% 39/154	21% 33/154	20% 31/154	19% 23/121	47% 7/15
Reds	R	#131% 48/154	23% 35/154	28% 43/154	#331% 47/154	26% 40/154	#231% 47/153	25% 38/153	27% 42/153	26% 31/118	32% 6/19
Reds	RA	28% 43/154	22% 34/154	#131% 47/154	29% 44/154	25% 39/154	23% 36/154	#329% 45/153	#230% 46/153	26% 30/117	74% 14/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.