Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2104:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

5-3

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	R	H	E
Nationals	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	6	2
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	1	0	0	3	11	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 68% · Season 55% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+0pp

7–9 Late

61%

+9pp

F5 first five

60%

+4pp

F9 full game

59%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 653Runs Allowed 854

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

154 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 734Runs Allowed 675

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	26% 40/154	24% 37/154	21% 32/154	#329% 44/154	23% 35/154	#131% 47/154	24% 37/154	23% 36/154	#230% 39/128	44% 4/9
Nationals	RA	#234% 52/154	31% 48/154	29% 44/154	24% 37/154	31% 47/154	#332% 49/154	31% 48/154	#138% 59/154	28% 32/113	56% 5/9
Mets	R	#331% 48/154	27% 42/154	#136% 55/154	27% 41/154	28% 43/154	23% 36/154	27% 42/154	30% 46/154	#232% 36/113	44% 7/16
Mets	RA	22% 34/154	24% 37/154	#329% 44/154	#131% 47/154	27% 42/154	27% 42/154	#230% 46/154	21% 33/154	27% 32/118	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.