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Final
2025-09-2007:40Kauffman Stadium
1-20
Royals
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Blue Jays100000000130
Royals70300046X20270

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Royals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Royals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Royals scoring tendency
15%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 10%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Royals offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+4pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-6pp
7–9 Late
57%
+5pp
F5 first five
55%
-1pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
03264961297587172832907036856487755959069264710371858629181710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 758Runs Allowed 675

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
024497499786214962271673597147967557766576677172850499181610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 589Runs Allowed 608
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR27% 42/15325% 39/153#231% 48/15326% 40/153#331% 48/153#132% 49/15329% 44/15231% 47/15226% 29/11173% 16/22
RA#131% 48/153#330% 46/15323% 35/15321% 32/15322% 34/153#231% 48/15326% 40/15226% 40/15226% 31/11836% 8/22
RoyalsR#131% 48/15320% 30/15324% 36/15325% 38/153#326% 40/15322% 33/15322% 34/153#227% 42/15325% 30/11965% 11/17
RA22% 33/15325% 39/15325% 38/153#131% 47/15324% 37/153#327% 42/15327% 42/153#228% 43/15323% 28/12153% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.