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Final
2025-09-2007:35George M. Steinbrenner Field
11-7
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Red Sox01100027011121
Rays111000004783

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.2
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#3
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Rays defense
32%R 40% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Red Sox defense
42%R 50% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 75% · Season 60% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
62%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
55%
-0pp
7–9 Late
41%
-11pp
F5 first five
58%
+3pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
03264961291039116664287793587849656583706816278568868499182610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 745Runs Allowed 643

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games
0306191122896617386285663977046467581836705875865846529161410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 679Runs Allowed 627
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#132% 49/15327% 41/153#231% 48/15325% 39/153#331% 47/15330% 46/15327% 42/15325% 38/15331% 36/11856% 15/27
RA#231% 47/15324% 37/153#329% 44/153#131% 48/15325% 39/15323% 35/15322% 33/15323% 35/15325% 32/12767% 18/27
RaysR#330% 46/15323% 35/153#232% 49/153#136% 55/15323% 35/15325% 39/15324% 36/15324% 36/15324% 28/11856% 9/16
RA#327% 42/15327% 42/15324% 37/15324% 37/15325% 39/153#229% 44/15323% 35/15322% 34/153#129% 35/12069% 11/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.