Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2007:10Citi Field

Nationals

Away

6-12

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	4	0	2	0	0	0	0	6	8	3
Mets	1	0	1	6	0	0	1	3	X	12	13	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.9

Nationals scoring tendency

29%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 38%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 24%

Opponent allowing 41%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense

32%R 20% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Nationals defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

59%

+7pp

F5 first five

58%

+3pp

F9 full game

57%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 647Runs Allowed 842

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 722Runs Allowed 669

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	26% 40/153	24% 37/153	20% 31/153	#329% 44/153	22% 34/153	#131% 47/153	24% 37/153	24% 36/153	#231% 39/127	44% 4/9
Nationals	RA	#233% 51/153	31% 48/153	28% 43/153	24% 36/153	31% 47/153	#332% 49/153	31% 47/153	#138% 58/153	28% 32/113	56% 5/9
Mets	R	#331% 47/153	27% 42/153	#135% 54/153	26% 40/153	28% 43/153	24% 36/153	27% 41/153	29% 45/153	#232% 36/113	44% 7/16
Mets	RA	22% 34/153	24% 37/153	#328% 43/153	#131% 47/153	27% 41/153	27% 42/153	#230% 46/153	22% 33/153	27% 32/117	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.