Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-2006:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

4-7

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	1	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	4	11	1
Reds	1	0	1	1	1	3	0	0	X	7	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 59% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

60%

+5pp

F9 full game

56%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 743Runs Allowed 611

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

153 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 683Runs Allowed 656

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 46/153	#133% 51/153	27% 41/153	#231% 48/153	#331% 48/153	28% 43/153	29% 44/153	31% 47/153	18% 21/114	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#229% 45/153	20% 31/153	26% 40/153	#130% 46/153	#329% 45/153	25% 38/153	22% 33/153	20% 31/153	19% 23/121	47% 7/15
Reds	R	#131% 47/153	23% 35/153	27% 42/153	#330% 46/153	25% 39/153	#230% 46/152	25% 38/152	28% 42/152	26% 31/118	32% 6/19
Reds	RA	28% 43/153	22% 33/153	#230% 46/153	28% 43/153	25% 39/153	24% 36/153	#330% 45/152	#130% 46/152	26% 30/116	74% 14/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.