Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1907:15Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

0-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
Reds	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	X	1	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 78% · Season 60% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

68%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

62%

+7pp

F9 full game

59%

+5pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 743Runs Allowed 610

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 682Runs Allowed 656

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 46/152	#134% 51/152	27% 41/152	#232% 48/152	#332% 48/152	28% 43/152	29% 44/152	31% 47/152	19% 21/113	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#130% 45/152	20% 31/152	26% 40/152	#230% 45/152	#330% 45/152	25% 38/152	22% 33/152	20% 31/152	19% 23/121	47% 7/15
Reds	R	#131% 47/152	23% 35/152	28% 42/152	#330% 45/152	26% 39/152	#230% 46/151	25% 38/151	28% 42/151	26% 31/118	32% 6/19
Reds	RA	28% 43/152	22% 33/152	#230% 46/152	28% 43/152	26% 39/152	24% 36/152	#330% 45/151	#130% 46/151	26% 30/115	74% 14/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.