Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1901:10Citi Field

Padres

Away

1-6

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	6	0
Mets	1	0	4	0	0	0	1	0	X	6	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Mets defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Mets offense × Padres defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 75% · Season 54% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+0pp

7–9 Late

51%

-0pp

F5 first five

65%

+10pp

F9 full game

58%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 651Runs Allowed 590

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 716Runs Allowed 668

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	26% 40/152	#330% 45/152	#230% 46/152	26% 39/152	27% 41/152	22% 33/152	#134% 52/152	24% 36/152	24% 27/112	71% 10/14
Padres	RA	#328% 43/152	22% 33/152	#230% 45/152	26% 40/152	#130% 46/152	20% 30/152	20% 30/152	19% 29/152	20% 23/117	36% 5/14
Mets	R	#330% 46/152	28% 42/152	#135% 53/152	26% 40/152	28% 43/152	24% 36/152	26% 40/152	30% 45/152	#232% 36/113	44% 7/16
Mets	RA	22% 34/152	24% 37/152	#328% 42/152	#131% 47/152	27% 41/152	28% 42/152	#230% 46/152	22% 33/152	28% 32/116	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.