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Final
2025-09-1807:05George M. Steinbrenner Field
1-2
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 33%
Rays scoring tendency
26%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 33%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 72% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+6pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
57%
+1pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
03264961297586172802907036756487755958969263710371858629181710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 757Runs Allowed 669

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games
0306191122886617086285663976946467580836695875865846529161410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 673Runs Allowed 626
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 42/15126% 39/151#232% 48/15126% 39/151#332% 48/151#132% 49/15129% 44/15031% 47/15027% 29/10973% 16/22
RA#131% 47/151#330% 45/15123% 35/15121% 32/15123% 34/151#231% 47/15126% 39/15027% 40/15026% 31/11836% 8/22
RaysR#330% 45/15123% 34/151#232% 49/151#136% 55/15123% 35/15125% 38/15123% 35/15124% 36/15124% 28/11856% 9/16
RA#328% 42/15128% 42/15125% 37/15124% 36/15126% 39/151#229% 44/15123% 35/15123% 34/151#130% 35/11869% 11/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.