Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1800:35PNC Park

Cubs

Away

8-4

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	4	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	8	10	1
Pirates	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	9	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.2

Cubs scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Pirates scoring tendency

15%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 10%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

28%R 30% · RA 25%

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+1pp

7–9 Late

40%

-12pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

52%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 735Runs Allowed 606

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

152 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 541Runs Allowed 618

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 45/151	#134% 51/151	27% 41/151	#232% 48/151	#332% 48/151	28% 42/151	29% 44/151	30% 46/151	19% 21/112	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#329% 44/151	20% 30/151	26% 40/151	#130% 45/151	#230% 45/151	25% 38/151	22% 33/151	21% 31/151	19% 23/120	47% 7/15
Pirates	R	#129% 44/152	22% 34/152	#323% 35/152	20% 31/152	#226% 40/152	22% 34/152	22% 33/152	20% 31/152	22% 25/116	36% 8/22
Pirates	RA	24% 36/152	18% 28/152	26% 39/152	#230% 45/152	26% 39/152	#130% 46/152	24% 37/152	23% 35/152	#326% 29/110	45% 10/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.