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Final
2025-09-1707:35George M. Steinbrenner Field
6-5
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays1301100006111
Rays0030000115100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 33%
Rays scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 19%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 68% · Season 58% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-2pp
7–9 Late
52%
-0pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
54%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
03264961297486169802906736656486755958969263710370858619181710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 751Runs Allowed 664

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games
0306191122886517083282663976846466580836695875765845529161410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 668Runs Allowed 620
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR27% 41/15025% 38/150#232% 48/15025% 38/15031% 47/150#133% 49/15030% 44/149#332% 47/14927% 29/10873% 16/22
RA#131% 47/150#330% 45/15023% 34/15021% 32/15023% 34/150#231% 47/15026% 39/14926% 39/14926% 30/11736% 8/22
RaysR#330% 45/15023% 34/150#232% 48/150#137% 55/15023% 35/15025% 38/15023% 35/15023% 35/15023% 27/11756% 9/16
RA#327% 41/15027% 41/15025% 37/15023% 35/15025% 38/150#229% 44/15023% 35/15023% 34/150#130% 35/11769% 11/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.