Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1706:40PNC Park

Cubs

Away

4-1

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	2	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	4	14	0
Pirates	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.3

Cubs scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

35%R 30% · RA 40%

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

32%R 25% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 68% · Season 53% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+3pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 731Runs Allowed 605

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

151 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 540Runs Allowed 614

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	29% 44/150	#133% 50/150	27% 41/150	#232% 48/150	#331% 47/150	28% 42/150	29% 44/150	31% 46/150	19% 21/111	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#329% 43/150	20% 30/150	27% 40/150	#130% 45/150	#230% 45/150	25% 38/150	22% 33/150	21% 31/150	19% 23/119	47% 7/15
Pirates	R	#128% 43/151	23% 34/151	#323% 35/151	21% 31/151	#226% 40/151	23% 34/151	22% 33/151	21% 31/151	22% 25/115	36% 8/22
Pirates	RA	23% 35/151	18% 27/151	26% 39/151	#230% 45/151	25% 38/151	#130% 46/151	25% 37/151	23% 35/151	#327% 29/109	45% 10/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.