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Final
2025-09-1607:35George M. Steinbrenner Field
2-1
Rays
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Rays10000000000140

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Blue Jays scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
45%R 50% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Sample 14Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 73% · Season 53% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+1pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
54%
-1pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
03264961287485169802906736656486755958969263710270858619171710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 749Runs Allowed 663

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games
0306191122876517083282663976846466580836695875764845529161310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 667Runs Allowed 618
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 41/14926% 38/149#232% 48/14926% 38/149#332% 47/149#133% 49/14930% 44/14831% 46/14827% 29/10775% 15/20
RA#231% 46/149#330% 45/14923% 34/14921% 32/14923% 34/149#132% 47/14926% 39/14826% 39/14826% 30/11640% 8/20
RaysR#330% 44/14923% 34/149#232% 48/149#137% 55/14923% 35/14926% 38/14923% 35/14923% 35/14923% 27/11664% 9/14
RA#328% 41/14928% 41/14925% 37/14923% 35/14926% 38/149#230% 44/14923% 35/14922% 33/149#130% 35/11671% 10/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.