Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1606:40PNC Park

Cubs

Away

4-0

Pirates

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	2	1	0	1	0	0	0	4	9	0
Pirates	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Pirates scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.6

Cubs scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Pirates scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Pirates scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Pirates defense

22%R 25% · RA 20%

Pirates offense × Cubs defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +6pp

Last 20 65% · Season 55% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+2pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

56%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 727Runs Allowed 605

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

150 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 540Runs Allowed 610

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	30% 44/149	#134% 50/149	27% 40/149	#232% 47/149	#332% 47/149	28% 41/149	30% 44/149	31% 46/149	19% 21/110	53% 8/15
Cubs	RA	#329% 43/149	20% 30/149	27% 40/149	#130% 45/149	#230% 45/149	26% 38/149	22% 33/149	21% 31/149	19% 23/118	47% 7/15
Pirates	R	#129% 43/150	23% 34/150	#323% 35/150	21% 31/150	#227% 40/150	23% 34/150	22% 33/150	21% 31/150	22% 25/114	36% 8/22
Pirates	RA	23% 35/150	18% 27/150	25% 38/150	#229% 44/150	25% 38/150	#130% 45/150	25% 37/150	23% 35/150	#327% 29/108	45% 10/22

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.