Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1501:35Truist Park

Astros

Away

3-8

Braves

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	1	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	0	3	9	1
Braves	1	1	0	0	3	1	2	0	X	8	11	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Braves scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 40%

Braves scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.6

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Braves defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Braves offense × Astros defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 68% · Season 50% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

49%

-5pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-2pp

7–9 Late

51%

-1pp

F5 first five

50%

-5pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

149 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 632Runs Allowed 607

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 638Runs Allowed 689

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	25% 37/149	21% 31/149	27% 40/149	21% 32/149	#328% 41/149	#133% 49/149	23% 34/149	#229% 43/148	21% 24/112	39% 9/23
Astros	RA	26% 38/149	26% 39/149	#228% 41/149	#328% 41/149	#132% 47/149	21% 32/149	24% 36/148	22% 33/148	20% 25/122	43% 10/23
Braves	R	#329% 43/148	20% 29/148	24% 35/148	#130% 45/148	24% 35/148	#230% 44/148	23% 34/148	26% 38/148	26% 31/118	42% 8/19
Braves	RA	28% 41/148	#329% 43/148	#137% 55/148	#230% 44/148	22% 32/148	28% 41/148	29% 43/148	24% 35/148	27% 31/115	47% 9/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.