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Final
2025-09-1407:15Truist Park
Astros
Away
6-2
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.8
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +26pp
#2
Inn.3
Astros scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.6
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 15%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Braves defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Braves offense × Astros defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp
Last 20 78% · Season 51% · +27pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
56%
+0pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
51%
-4pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

148 games
0306192123617815357284743557548679598456596577773839459141410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 626Runs Allowed 605

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

147 games
03264961297174149752661033888846060586666607779468852609101210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 636Runs Allowed 683
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
AstrosR25% 37/14820% 30/14826% 39/14822% 32/148#328% 41/148#133% 49/14823% 34/148#229% 43/14722% 24/11139% 9/23
RA26% 38/14826% 39/148#228% 41/148#327% 40/148#132% 47/14822% 32/14824% 35/14722% 33/14721% 25/12143% 10/23
BravesR#329% 43/14720% 29/14724% 35/147#130% 44/14724% 35/147#230% 44/14722% 33/14726% 38/14726% 31/11742% 8/19
RA28% 41/14729% 42/147#137% 54/147#230% 44/14722% 32/14728% 41/147#329% 43/14724% 35/14727% 31/11447% 9/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.