Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-1108:40Petco Park

Reds

Away

2-1

Padres

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	7	0
Padres	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.3

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Padres scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Padres defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Padres offense × Reds defense

35%R 20% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +12pp

Last 20 70% · Season 56% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+9pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

53%

+1pp

F5 first five

61%

+6pp

F9 full game

57%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 654Runs Allowed 623

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

145 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 616Runs Allowed 563

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#232% 46/145	22% 32/145	28% 41/145	#330% 43/145	26% 38/145	#132% 46/144	25% 36/144	27% 39/144	27% 30/111	32% 6/19
Reds	RA	28% 40/145	21% 31/145	#230% 43/145	29% 42/145	26% 37/145	23% 33/145	#329% 42/144	#131% 44/144	27% 30/112	74% 14/19
Padres	R	25% 36/145	#328% 41/145	#229% 42/145	26% 37/145	27% 39/145	23% 33/145	#136% 52/145	23% 33/145	23% 25/108	71% 10/14
Padres	RA	#328% 40/145	22% 32/145	#131% 45/145	25% 36/145	#231% 45/145	20% 29/145	19% 28/145	19% 27/145	21% 23/111	36% 5/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.