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2025-09-0907:15Truist Park
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Braves scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#2
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Braves scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.5
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Braves defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Braves offense × Cubs defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp
Last 20 72% · Season 61% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+13pp
7–9 Late
49%
-3pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+2pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
030609012079661964327460375794888358165678587838384032991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 703Runs Allowed 586

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

143 games
03162931256873149752641003888445953585656607679164852609101210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 626Runs Allowed 662
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR29% 42/143#134% 48/14327% 38/14331% 44/143#232% 46/14328% 40/14329% 41/143#331% 45/14320% 21/10653% 8/15
RA#328% 40/14321% 30/14326% 37/143#131% 44/143#230% 43/14326% 37/14323% 33/14320% 29/14319% 22/11347% 7/15
BravesR#329% 42/14320% 29/14323% 33/143#131% 44/14324% 34/143#230% 43/14323% 33/14325% 36/14327% 31/11442% 8/19
RA28% 40/143#229% 42/143#136% 52/143#329% 42/14321% 30/14328% 40/14329% 42/14324% 34/14328% 31/11047% 9/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.