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Final
2025-09-0802:20Wrigley Field
6-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000010005671
Cubs010010010380

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+12pp
7–9 Late
38%
-14pp
F5 first five
60%
+5pp
F9 full game
54%
+0pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
034691041398910615875253943726544877565976611117649287246913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 595Runs Allowed 770

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games
029598911979661954327460375794878258165678587828384027991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 700Runs Allowed 580
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR28% 39/14123% 33/14121% 30/141#230% 42/14121% 30/141#330% 42/14125% 35/14123% 33/141#131% 36/11750% 4/8
RA#235% 49/14132% 45/14130% 42/14124% 34/14130% 43/141#333% 46/14131% 44/141#135% 50/14125% 26/10350% 4/8
CubsR30% 42/142#133% 47/14227% 38/142#331% 44/142#232% 45/14228% 40/14229% 41/14231% 44/14220% 21/10553% 8/15
RA#328% 40/14221% 30/14226% 37/142#131% 44/142#230% 42/14226% 37/14223% 33/14220% 29/14219% 21/11247% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.