Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-0801:40Great American Ball Park

Mets

Away

2-3

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	0
Reds	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	X	3	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Mets scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.7

Mets scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +27pp

Inn.4

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Reds defense

48%R 50% · RA 45%

Reds offense × Mets defense

32%R 20% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 61% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

67%

+12pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

69%

+17pp

F5 first five

64%

+9pp

F9 full game

64%

+10pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 682Runs Allowed 615

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

142 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 644Runs Allowed 615

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	#330% 43/142	29% 41/142	#136% 51/142	26% 37/142	28% 40/142	25% 35/142	26% 37/142	30% 43/142	#232% 33/104	40% 6/15
Mets	RA	21% 30/142	23% 33/142	#329% 41/142	#132% 45/142	27% 38/142	27% 39/142	#230% 42/142	20% 29/142	27% 30/111	60% 9/15
Reds	R	#231% 44/142	22% 31/142	28% 40/142	#330% 42/142	27% 38/142	#131% 44/141	26% 36/141	28% 39/141	27% 29/109	33% 6/18
Reds	RA	28% 40/142	22% 31/142	#330% 42/142	30% 42/142	25% 36/142	23% 32/142	#230% 42/141	#131% 44/141	27% 29/109	72% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.