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Final
2025-09-0702:20Wrigley Field
2-1
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals100100000270
Cubs010000000130

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 55%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp
#2
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
40%R 25% · RA 55%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp
Last 20 75% · Season 59% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+14pp
7–9 Late
40%
-12pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
034691041398810615874253943716544877565976611117649287246913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 593Runs Allowed 769

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

141 games
029598811879651944327460375784878258165678587828384027991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 699Runs Allowed 578
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR27% 38/14024% 33/14021% 30/140#329% 41/14021% 30/140#230% 42/14025% 35/14024% 33/140#131% 36/11650% 4/8
RA#235% 49/14031% 44/14030% 42/14024% 34/14031% 43/140#333% 46/14031% 44/140#136% 50/14025% 26/10250% 4/8
CubsR30% 42/141#133% 46/14127% 38/141#331% 44/141#232% 45/14128% 40/14129% 41/14131% 44/14120% 21/10453% 8/15
RA#328% 39/14121% 30/14126% 37/141#130% 43/141#230% 42/14126% 37/14123% 33/14121% 29/14119% 21/11147% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.