Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-0606:40Great American Ball Park

Mets

Away

5-4

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mets	3	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	5	10	0
Reds	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	4	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Mets scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.8

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp

Inn.1

Mets scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mets offense × Reds defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Mets defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 75% · Season 55% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

58%

+2pp

7–9 Late

68%

+16pp

F5 first five

60%

+5pp

F9 full game

63%

+9pp

Show team trends+

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 674Runs Allowed 605

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 634Runs Allowed 607

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mets	R	30% 42/140	29% 41/140	#135% 49/140	26% 36/140	29% 40/140	25% 35/140	26% 36/140	#331% 43/140	#231% 32/102	40% 6/15
Mets	RA	21% 30/140	23% 32/140	#328% 39/140	#131% 43/140	27% 38/140	28% 39/140	#229% 41/140	21% 29/140	27% 30/110	60% 9/15
Reds	R	#231% 44/140	21% 30/140	27% 38/140	#329% 40/140	27% 38/140	#132% 44/139	25% 35/139	28% 39/139	27% 29/108	33% 6/18
Reds	RA	28% 39/140	22% 31/140	29% 40/140	#329% 41/140	26% 36/140	23% 32/140	#229% 41/139	#132% 44/139	26% 28/107	72% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.