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Final
2025-09-0602:20Wrigley Field
5-11
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals000203000560
Cubs51020201X11100

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Cubs defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Cubs offense × Nationals defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 70% · Season 57% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+1pp
4–6 Middle
66%
+10pp
7–9 Late
43%
-9pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

139 games
034691041398810115873253943696344877562956611117649187246913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 588Runs Allowed 758

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

140 games
029588711774651934327460373764878257962678587818384027991710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 688Runs Allowed 573
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR27% 38/13924% 33/13922% 30/139#329% 40/13922% 30/139#229% 41/13925% 35/13924% 33/139#131% 36/11550% 4/8
RA#235% 48/13931% 43/13930% 42/13924% 33/13931% 43/139#332% 45/13932% 44/139#135% 49/13925% 26/10250% 4/8
CubsR29% 41/140#132% 45/14027% 38/140#331% 43/140#232% 45/14028% 39/14029% 41/14031% 43/14020% 21/10453% 8/15
RA#328% 39/14021% 30/14026% 37/140#130% 42/140#230% 42/14026% 36/14024% 33/14021% 29/14019% 21/11047% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.