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Final
2025-09-0309:40Petco Park
6-2
Padres
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Team123456789RHE
Orioles1020200106100
Padres002000000261

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.7
Orioles scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Padres defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Orioles defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 59% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-5pp
7–9 Late
53%
+1pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
53%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
029598811861911657028394351814698256960683657768782647916910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 599Runs Allowed 686

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
030609012065661714826767364694758754345696537504984140913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 585Runs Allowed 531
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR25% 35/13824% 33/138#133% 45/13822% 31/138#327% 37/13825% 35/138#233% 45/13825% 34/13817% 18/10843% 6/14
RA#133% 46/13830% 41/138#233% 46/13830% 42/138#333% 46/13824% 33/13828% 38/13828% 38/13827% 28/10250% 7/14
PadresR25% 35/138#328% 39/138#230% 41/13826% 36/13826% 36/13822% 31/138#137% 51/13824% 33/13825% 25/10169% 9/13
RA#326% 36/13822% 30/138#229% 40/13826% 36/138#131% 43/13820% 27/13819% 26/13819% 26/13820% 21/10538% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.