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Final
2025-09-0306:40Great American Ball Park
12-9
Reds
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays44020010112121
Reds1502000109150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Reds scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Reds defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Reds offense × Blue Jays defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp
Last 20 72% · Season 55% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
44%
-12pp
7–9 Late
65%
+13pp
F5 first five
49%
-6pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
0285785114657716165287653585447975591866836178965850599161710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 679Runs Allowed 624

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

138 games
027558211084621494027588375614665057067663687767985044982310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 616Runs Allowed 582
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 38/13825% 34/138#133% 45/13824% 33/138#330% 42/138#233% 45/13829% 40/13729% 40/13724% 24/9974% 14/19
RA#230% 42/138#328% 39/13823% 32/13822% 31/13825% 34/138#132% 44/13827% 37/13726% 36/13726% 28/10742% 8/19
RedsR#231% 43/13820% 28/13828% 38/138#328% 39/13828% 38/138#132% 44/13725% 34/13727% 37/13727% 29/10633% 6/18
RA28% 38/13822% 30/138#328% 39/13828% 39/13825% 35/13822% 31/138#228% 39/137#131% 43/13725% 26/10572% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.