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Final
2025-09-0201:10Great American Ball Park
4-5
Reds
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Reds scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Reds scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Reds scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Reds defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Reds offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 35% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
47%
-8pp
7–9 Late
61%
+9pp
F5 first five
50%
-5pp
F9 full game
55%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
0285785114657716163287653585447975591866826178965847569161710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 675Runs Allowed 619

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

137 games
027558211084621474027588375614665057067663677767984741982310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 611Runs Allowed 578
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR28% 38/13725% 34/137#133% 45/13724% 33/137#331% 42/137#233% 45/13729% 39/13629% 40/13623% 23/9874% 14/19
RA#231% 42/137#328% 38/13723% 32/13723% 31/13725% 34/137#132% 44/13727% 37/13626% 36/13625% 27/10642% 8/19
RedsR#231% 43/13720% 27/13728% 38/137#328% 39/13728% 38/137#132% 44/13625% 34/13627% 37/13627% 28/10533% 6/18
RA28% 38/13722% 30/137#228% 39/137#328% 39/13726% 35/13723% 31/13728% 38/136#132% 43/13624% 25/10472% 13/18

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.