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Final
2025-09-0101:40Citi Field
5-1
Mets
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Marlins1021100005100
Mets000000100151

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 50%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.1
Marlins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 55%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
35%R 20% · RA 50%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
40%R 40% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 75% · Season 56% · +19pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+9pp
4–6 Middle
70%
+14pp
7–9 Late
60%
+9pp
F5 first five
68%
+13pp
F9 full game
65%
+11pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
03162931256976143562637034810049392562866707276765861529181210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 594Runs Allowed 681

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games
027548110873501744828266366774746355879675707866185256991110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 649Runs Allowed 581
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#327% 37/13624% 32/13624% 33/13621% 29/136#132% 44/13625% 34/136#231% 42/13625% 34/13623% 26/11371% 12/17
RA#135% 48/13624% 32/136#330% 41/136#235% 48/13630% 41/13628% 38/13627% 37/13630% 41/13623% 24/10653% 9/17
MetsR30% 41/13629% 40/136#135% 48/13625% 34/13629% 40/13624% 33/13624% 33/136#332% 43/136#233% 32/9840% 6/15
RA20% 27/13623% 31/13627% 37/136#130% 41/13626% 35/136#229% 39/136#329% 39/13621% 28/13627% 29/10760% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.