Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-09-0101:40Progressive Field

Mariners

Away

4-2

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Mariners	0	0	0	0	2	0	2	0	0	4	9	0
Guardians	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.7

Mariners scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.4

Mariners scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Guardians defense

32%R 40% · RA 25%

Guardians offense × Mariners defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp

Last 20 68% · Season 56% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-3pp

7–9 Late

54%

+2pp

F5 first five

52%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

136 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 623Runs Allowed 600

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

134 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 517Runs Allowed 570

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Mariners	R	#329% 40/136	29% 40/136	24% 33/136	29% 39/136	24% 32/136	#130% 41/136	#230% 41/136	21% 28/136	27% 28/103	46% 16/35
Mariners	RA	#129% 40/136	18% 24/136	27% 37/136	28% 38/136	#229% 40/136	#329% 40/136	28% 38/136	23% 31/136	22% 24/109	54% 19/35
Guardians	R	#328% 37/134	17% 23/134	27% 36/134	#133% 44/134	21% 28/134	#228% 38/134	24% 32/134	20% 27/134	22% 23/106	71% 12/17
Guardians	RA	25% 34/134	21% 28/134	21% 28/134	27% 36/134	#131% 42/134	#230% 40/134	#329% 39/134	23% 31/134	27% 29/107	53% 9/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.