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Final
2025-08-2907:10Citi Field
7-4
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Marlins103000300791
Mets200020000473

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Marlins scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 55%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.5
Marlins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp
#3
Inn.7
Marlins scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Mets scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense
43%R 30% · RA 55%
Mets offense × Marlins defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 78% · Season 56% · +21pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
69%
+14pp
7–9 Late
54%
+3pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
60%
+6pp
Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
0316293124636814348257673489948990562836667276659855529181210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 567Runs Allowed 650

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

133 games
025507510065441664827960365774725955579675667806085250991110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 618Runs Allowed 554
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarlinsR#326% 35/13324% 32/13323% 31/13322% 29/133#132% 43/13326% 34/133#230% 40/13325% 33/13322% 24/11071% 12/17
RA#234% 45/13323% 30/133#330% 40/133#135% 47/13330% 40/13327% 36/13328% 37/13330% 40/13323% 24/10453% 9/17
MetsR29% 38/13329% 38/133#135% 47/13325% 33/13329% 39/13323% 31/13325% 33/133#332% 42/133#233% 32/9640% 6/15
RA19% 25/13323% 31/13326% 35/133#131% 41/13326% 34/133#229% 39/133#328% 37/13320% 27/13326% 27/10460% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.