Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-2801:10Progressive Field

Rays

Away

3-4

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Rays	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	7	0
Guardians	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1X	4	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Guardians scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Guardians defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Guardians offense × Rays defense

32%R 35% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +5pp

Last 20 62% · Season 54% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

54%

-1pp

7–9 Late

43%

-9pp

F5 first five

55%

+0pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

132 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 593Runs Allowed 554

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 504Runs Allowed 560

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#327% 36/132	22% 29/132	#233% 44/132	#139% 51/132	22% 29/132	24% 32/132	24% 32/132	24% 32/132	24% 25/103	69% 9/13
Rays	RA	#328% 37/132	27% 36/132	26% 34/132	23% 30/132	27% 36/132	#229% 38/132	24% 32/132	24% 32/132	#129% 30/103	69% 9/13
Guardians	R	#228% 37/131	17% 22/131	#327% 36/131	#133% 43/131	21% 27/131	27% 36/131	23% 30/131	20% 26/131	20% 21/104	69% 11/16
Guardians	RA	25% 33/131	21% 27/131	21% 27/131	27% 36/131	#132% 42/131	#231% 40/131	#329% 38/131	23% 30/131	28% 29/104	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.