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Final
2025-08-2707:10Citi Field
5-6
Mets
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Phillies0000210205111
Mets000050001X6120

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 60%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Phillies scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 15%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
48%R 35% · RA 60%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 80% · Season 58% · +22pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
59%
+4pp
7–9 Late
55%
+3pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
57%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
0275582110794116164260433846544338556716888578653844549191510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 620Runs Allowed 529

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games
025507510065441664827660365774665755578673667805885150991110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 606Runs Allowed 549
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#133% 43/13123% 30/13123% 30/131#233% 43/13126% 34/13121% 28/13131% 40/131#333% 43/13123% 21/9273% 11/15
RA21% 28/13125% 33/13114% 18/13127% 35/13118% 24/131#230% 39/131#131% 40/13125% 33/131#328% 29/10353% 8/15
MetsR29% 38/13129% 38/131#135% 46/13125% 33/13128% 37/13124% 31/13124% 32/131#332% 42/131#233% 31/9540% 6/15
RA19% 25/13124% 31/13127% 35/131#131% 41/13125% 33/131#229% 38/131#328% 37/13120% 26/13126% 27/10260% 9/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.