Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-2706:40Progressive Field

Rays

Away

0-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	0
Guardians	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	3	3	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Inn.4

Rays scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Guardians scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Guardians defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Guardians offense × Rays defense

30%R 35% · RA 25%

Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp

Last 20 65% · Season 54% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

58%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

55%

-1pp

7–9 Late

45%

-7pp

F5 first five

56%

+1pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 593Runs Allowed 551

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

130 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 501Runs Allowed 560

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#327% 36/131	22% 29/131	#234% 44/131	#139% 51/131	22% 29/131	24% 32/131	24% 32/131	24% 32/131	25% 25/102	69% 9/13
Rays	RA	#327% 36/131	27% 36/131	26% 34/131	23% 30/131	27% 36/131	#229% 38/131	24% 32/131	24% 32/131	#129% 30/103	69% 9/13
Guardians	R	#228% 36/130	17% 22/130	#328% 36/130	#133% 43/130	21% 27/130	28% 36/130	23% 30/130	20% 26/130	20% 21/104	69% 11/16
Guardians	RA	25% 33/130	21% 27/130	21% 27/130	28% 36/130	#132% 42/130	#231% 40/130	#329% 38/130	23% 30/130	28% 29/103	56% 9/16

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.