Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-2609:40T-Mobile Park

Padres

Away

6-9

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	4	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	6	10	1
Mariners	1	2	0	1	5	0	0	0	X	9	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.7

Padres scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Mariners defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Mariners offense × Padres defense

35%R 50% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 72% · Season 56% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

59%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

42%

-13pp

7–9 Late

57%

+5pp

F5 first five

51%

-3pp

F9 full game

53%

-1pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 548Runs Allowed 491

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

131 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 597Runs Allowed 575

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	26% 34/131	#328% 37/131	#231% 40/131	27% 35/131	26% 34/131	21% 28/131	#137% 48/131	24% 32/131	23% 22/94	69% 9/13
Padres	RA	#327% 35/131	21% 27/131	#128% 37/131	24% 32/131	#228% 37/131	21% 27/131	18% 24/131	20% 26/131	21% 21/102	38% 5/13
Mariners	R	#329% 38/131	29% 38/131	25% 33/131	28% 37/131	23% 30/131	#131% 41/131	#231% 40/131	21% 27/131	28% 28/100	46% 16/35
Mariners	RA	#230% 39/131	18% 23/131	#328% 37/131	28% 37/131	#131% 40/131	27% 36/131	27% 35/131	23% 30/131	20% 21/105	54% 19/35

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.