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Final
2025-08-1906:40PNC Park
Blue Jays
Away
2-5
Pirates
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays002000000263
Pirates01100012X560

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 60%
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Pirates defense
42%R 25% · RA 60%
Pirates offense × Blue Jays defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 68% · Season 50% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-1pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+10pp
7–9 Late
57%
+6pp
F5 first five
57%
+2pp
F9 full game
58%
+5pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games
0275481108497215560282593545047570581766745178661846489131510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 615Runs Allowed 562

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

125 games
02347709452501473823761346754666555471650627475382843912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 439Runs Allowed 526
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR26% 32/12523% 29/125#134% 42/12524% 30/125#232% 40/125#332% 40/12528% 35/12431% 39/12425% 22/8969% 11/16
RA#231% 39/125#328% 35/12522% 28/12523% 29/12526% 32/125#133% 41/12524% 30/12427% 33/12425% 24/9738% 6/16
PiratesR#226% 32/12521% 26/12522% 27/125#322% 28/125#129% 36/12522% 28/12522% 28/12519% 24/12520% 19/9742% 8/19
RA23% 29/12516% 20/12526% 33/125#131% 39/125#328% 35/125#230% 38/12525% 31/12525% 31/12527% 24/8842% 8/19

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.