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Final
2025-08-1707:10Daikin Park
4-5
Astros
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Orioles000020020000470
Astros010200100001X580

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.4
Orioles scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Orioles scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Astros scoring tendency
12%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 10%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Astros defense
32%R 30% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Orioles defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 65% · Season 56% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-1pp
7–9 Late
50%
-2pp
F5 first five
54%
-0pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
02449749956751586227179343724557456557674577637782139915810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 521Runs Allowed 600

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
0275582110496614547268643486347457588346515775751832379131110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 525Runs Allowed 487
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR#326% 32/12223% 28/122#132% 39/12222% 27/12225% 30/12226% 32/122#231% 38/12223% 28/12216% 15/9356% 5/9
RA#231% 38/12230% 36/122#331% 38/12231% 38/122#134% 42/12226% 32/12228% 34/12226% 32/12227% 24/8867% 6/9
AstrosR26% 32/12219% 23/12225% 30/12223% 28/122#230% 36/122#133% 40/12222% 27/122#328% 34/12123% 21/9053% 8/15
RA#328% 34/12225% 31/122#229% 35/12227% 33/122#131% 38/12220% 24/12226% 31/12119% 23/12122% 22/10047% 7/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.