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2025-08-1702:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 55%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.7
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 50% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
61%
+5pp
7–9 Late
50%
-1pp
F5 first five
52%
-2pp
F9 full game
53%
-0pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

123 games
02346699352501473723661345744666455270650627475082843912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 435Runs Allowed 519

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

121 games
026527810469591833825851364684727056845674487727383924981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 607Runs Allowed 493
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#226% 32/12321% 26/12321% 26/12322% 27/123#129% 36/12322% 27/123#323% 28/12320% 24/12320% 19/9542% 8/19
RA24% 29/12315% 19/12327% 33/123#131% 38/123#328% 34/123#230% 37/12325% 31/12324% 29/12327% 24/8842% 8/19
CubsR31% 37/121#132% 39/12126% 31/12131% 37/12131% 37/12126% 32/121#232% 39/121#331% 38/12122% 20/9150% 7/14
RA#328% 34/12121% 26/12126% 32/121#131% 37/121#229% 35/12121% 26/12122% 27/12120% 24/12119% 18/9350% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.