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Final
2025-08-1602:20Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#2
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
35%R 30% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp
Last 20 65% · Season 50% · +15pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
58%
+3pp
7–9 Late
47%
-5pp
F5 first five
53%
-2pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

122 games
02346699252501473723661344734666455270649617475082743912810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 432Runs Allowed 517

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

120 games
026527810469591833825851363674727056845673477727383923981710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.11.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 605Runs Allowed 490
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR#226% 32/12221% 26/12221% 26/12221% 26/122#130% 36/122#322% 27/12222% 27/12220% 24/12219% 18/9442% 8/19
RA24% 29/12216% 19/12227% 33/122#130% 37/122#328% 34/122#230% 37/12225% 30/12224% 29/12228% 24/8742% 8/19
CubsR31% 37/120#132% 39/12026% 31/12030% 36/12031% 37/12027% 32/120#232% 38/120#332% 38/12022% 20/9050% 7/14
RA#328% 34/12022% 26/12027% 32/120#130% 36/120#229% 35/12022% 26/12022% 26/12020% 24/12018% 17/9250% 7/14

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.