Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-1206:10Great American Ball Park

Phillies

Away

4-1

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	0	4	8	0
Reds	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.7

Phillies scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.8

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Reds defense

38%R 35% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Phillies defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 72% · Season 58% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

45%

-9pp

4–6 Middle

52%

-3pp

7–9 Late

55%

+4pp

F5 first five

49%

-6pp

F9 full game

51%

-3pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 551Runs Allowed 461

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

119 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 539Runs Allowed 498

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	#232% 38/117	21% 25/117	22% 26/117	#133% 39/117	27% 32/117	21% 25/117	31% 36/117	#332% 38/117	24% 20/83	73% 11/15
Phillies	RA	21% 24/117	#328% 33/117	13% 15/117	26% 30/117	18% 21/117	#130% 35/117	#229% 34/117	26% 30/117	27% 25/94	53% 8/15
Reds	R	#231% 37/119	19% 23/119	29% 35/119	#330% 36/119	29% 35/119	#132% 38/118	24% 28/118	26% 31/118	29% 26/90	17% 2/12
Reds	RA	25% 30/119	23% 27/119	#328% 33/119	28% 33/119	28% 33/119	24% 28/119	#228% 33/118	#130% 35/118	24% 22/91	67% 8/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.