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Final
2025-08-1104:10Petco Park
2-6
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 10%
Padres scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.2
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Padres defense
25%R 40% · RA 10%
Padres offense × Red Sox defense
40%R 50% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 60% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
59%
+4pp
F9 full game
52%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

118 games
0255176102817915142272613476748035567496665076658844379172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 591Runs Allowed 503

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
02448729757511544125758353594616753241677427424783739913710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 483Runs Allowed 452
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#132% 38/11825% 30/118#232% 38/11825% 30/118#332% 38/11831% 36/11828% 33/11825% 29/11830% 26/8858% 14/24
RA#133% 39/11821% 25/118#327% 32/118#233% 39/11822% 26/11824% 28/11819% 23/11825% 29/11826% 25/9871% 17/24
PadresR26% 31/117#328% 33/117#231% 36/11726% 30/11725% 29/11721% 24/117#137% 43/11723% 27/11726% 22/8669% 9/13
RA25% 29/11722% 26/117#229% 34/117#326% 31/117#131% 36/11721% 24/11717% 20/11721% 24/11722% 20/9138% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.