Scoring Analysis

Final

2025-08-1009:40T-Mobile Park

Rays

Away

4-7

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0	4	5	0
Mariners	2	0	4	0	0	1	0	0	X	7	7	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Inn.1

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Mariners defense

30%R 25% · RA 35%

Mariners offense × Rays defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp

Last 20 62% · Season 57% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

51%

-4pp

7–9 Late

41%

-11pp

F5 first five

50%

-4pp

F9 full game

48%

-5pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 524Runs Allowed 478

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 534Runs Allowed 503

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	#327% 32/117	20% 23/117	#233% 39/117	#138% 45/117	23% 27/117	26% 30/117	24% 28/117	22% 26/117	23% 21/90	67% 8/12
Rays	RA	26% 31/117	26% 31/117	26% 30/117	23% 27/117	#327% 32/117	#228% 33/117	22% 26/117	24% 28/117	#130% 28/93	67% 8/12
Mariners	R	27% 32/117	#231% 36/117	25% 29/117	#331% 36/117	25% 29/117	#132% 37/117	27% 32/117	21% 25/117	27% 24/90	47% 16/34
Mariners	RA	#229% 34/117	15% 17/117	#329% 34/117	26% 31/117	#132% 38/117	29% 34/117	26% 30/117	21% 25/117	20% 19/97	53% 18/34

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.