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2025-08-1008:40Petco Park
4-5
Padres
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Red Sox1020000010490
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp
#2
Inn.3
Red Sox scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 5%
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -3pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Padres defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 20% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +4pp
Last 20 60% · Season 56% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-7pp
7–9 Late
46%
-5pp
F5 first five
56%
+1pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

117 games
0255075100807915141270603476748033567496665076658843379172410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 587Runs Allowed 498

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

116 games
02448729757501534125656353594596753241677427424783738912710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 478Runs Allowed 448
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#232% 37/11726% 30/117#332% 37/11726% 30/117#132% 38/11731% 36/11728% 33/11725% 29/11729% 25/8761% 14/23
RA#133% 39/11721% 24/117#326% 31/117#233% 39/11721% 25/11724% 28/11720% 23/11725% 29/11726% 25/9770% 16/23
PadresR27% 31/116#328% 32/116#230% 35/11626% 30/11624% 28/11621% 24/116#137% 43/11623% 27/11626% 22/8567% 8/12
RA24% 28/11622% 26/116#228% 33/116#327% 31/116#131% 36/11621% 24/11617% 20/11621% 24/11621% 19/9042% 5/12

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.